apostatic electricity (hoolifan) wrote in balanceofpower,
apostatic electricity

Election year thoughts on State of the Union day

Don't expect much emphasis on foreign policy from Bush for the next year or so. This is the season of "domestic issues", which so far seems to mean 'handouts targeted at desirable voting blocs'. Iran and North Korea will be back-burnered this year, with the USG providing the requisite tough talk and international bodies / relevant regional powers driving diplomacy. We could see some activity there in late summer if (A) either country decides to influence the US elections by making some noise, or (B) Bush feels threatened on his core defense platform and starts lavishing crisis-level attention to one of them.
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